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December 13 2014 at 22:56

65% chance that El Nino will develop this winter.

El Nino, a phase of warm sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, is not quite here, scientists have concluded in their latest status update that was issued on December 4, 2014. Currently, there is a 65% chance that El Nino will develop this winter and last until spring. If El Nino does develop, it is expected to be weak.
El Nino events, which reoccur about every 3 to 4 years, impact weather conditions across the globe. Typically, several areas in Indonesia and Australia are drier than normal during El Nino events, whereas parts of the southern United States are wetter than normal. El Nino events are also associated with milder winter temperatures in parts of western Canada and northern regions of the United States.

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